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Lessons From Warren Buffett

Lessons From Warren Buffett: Earnings Expectations Become Impossible Over Time

The unreasonable expectation that businesses will report ever increasing earnings quarter after quarter is something that Warren Buffett warns against because it incentivizes managers to cheat, or face getting punished by investors.

“Businesses do not meet expectations quarter after quarter and year after year. It just isn’t in the nature of running businesses. And, in our view, people that predict precisely what the future will be are either kidding investors, or they’re kidding themselves, or they’re kidding both,” Warren Buffett noted at the 2005 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “Charlie and I have been around the culture, sometimes on the board, where the ego of the CEO became very involved in meeting predictions which were impossible, really, over time. And everybody in the organization knew, because they were very public about it, what these predictions were and they knew that their CEO was going to look bad if they weren’t met. And that can lead to a lot of bad things. You get enough bad things, anyway, I mean. But setting up a system that either exerts financial or psychological pressure on the people around you to do things that they probably really don’t even want to do, in order to avoid disappointing you, I mean, I just think that it’s a terrible mistake.”

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© 2021 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Lessons From Warren Buffett

Lessons From Warren Buffett: Staying Within Your Circle of Competence

For Warren Buffett, being a disciplined investor means staying within your circle of competence. How do you know the limits to your circle of competence?

“I would say this, if you have doubts about something being into your circle of competence, it isn’t,” Warren Buffett said at the 2002 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “If you get to something that your friend is buying, or that everybody says a lot of money’s going to be made, and you don’t, you’re not sure whether you understand it or not, you don’t. You know, I mean, and it’s better to be well within the circle than to be trying to tiptoe along the line. And you’ll find plenty of things within the circle. I mean, it’s not terrible to have a small circle of competence. I’d say my circle of competence is pretty small, but it’s big enough. You know, I can find a few things.”

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© 2023 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell a stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Lessons From Warren Buffett

Lessons From Warren Buffett: In Aggregate, Investment Professionals Don’t Add Value

Warren Buffett is famous for saying that after he dies he wants his wife to put her money into an S&P 500 index fund. Why does Buffett say that? It is because Buffett doesn’t think the financial management field adds value above what investors can do themselves.

“Most professions have value added to them above what the laymen can accomplish themselves. In aggregate, the investment profession does not do that,” Warren Buffett noted at the 2006 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “So you have a huge group of people making, I put the estimate as $140 billion a year, that, in aggregate, are, and can only accomplish what somebody can do, you know, in ten minutes a year by themselves.”

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© 2023 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Lessons From Warren Buffett

Lessons From Warren Buffett: The Moment Warren Buffett Knew He Would Be Very Rich

We all have epiphanies that change our lives, and for Warren Buffett it was the moment that he realized the lengths that people will go to engage in gambling behavior, even when they know the odds insure that in the end they will lose. It was a moment that cemented the advantage the disciplined investor has over the gambler.

“I walked into this casino, the Flamingo, it was kind of a motel-like arrangement, and I was 21 and my bride was 19,” Warren Buffett said at the 2022 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “And I looked around the room and there were all of these people, and they were better dressed then, it was a more dignified group than, perhaps, currently, but they had flown thousands of miles in some cases, you know, in planes that weren’t as fast as the current ones and were more expensive, probably, on a per-mile basis, adjusted, then. They’d gone to great lengths to come out to do something that was mathematically unintelligent, and they knew it was unintelligent. And, I mean, they couldn’t do it fast enough, in terms of rolling the dice, you know, and trying to determine whether they were hot or whatever they may be. And I looked around at that group. And everybody there knew that they were doing something that was mathematically dumb, and they’d come thousands of miles to do it. And I said to my wife, I said, ‘You know, I’m going to get rich. I mean, how can you miss? If people are willing to do this, you know, this is a land of opportunity.'”

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© 2023 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Lessons From Warren Buffett

Lessons From Warren Buffett: Wall Street Needs Activity, You Don’t

Buy and hold might be a slogan that gets occasionally mentioned by brokerage firms, especially when they don’t want retail investors to flee in market downturns, but it’s not a philosophy that Wall Street really believes in for one simple reason, they get paid for activity. And having people treat investing like gambling is far more profitable than having investors patiently hold on to their stocks and bonds.

“. . . The money is in turning over stocks. I mean, people say how wonderfully you’ve done if you bought Berkshire in, you know, 1965 or something and held it. But your broker would’ve starved to death,” Warren Buffett said at the 2022 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “But they don’t make money unless people do things, and if they get a piece of them. And they make a lot more money when people are gambling than when they’re investing. It’s much better to have somebody that’s going to trade 20 times a day and get all excited about it, just like pulling the handle on a slot machine.”

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© 2022 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Lessons From Warren Buffett

Lessons From Warren Buffett: It Is Easier to Get a Good Price on Piece of a Company Than the Whole Thing

For the vast majority of investors, their holdings represent mere fragments of the corporate landscape, small pieces in a sprawling puzzle. In this realm of small-scale participation, there exists a source of solace. As Warren Buffett sagely observes, take heed that even though your stake may be modest, it has the potential to bear a favorable price tag, one that might surpass the acquisition cost borne by those wielding the means to claim entire companies. So, in this world of fractional ownership, the discerning small investor, with an eye for value, can often secure a more advantageous entry point, savoring a unique advantage amidst the grand tapestry of the market.

“You will never make the kind of buy in a negotiated purchase that you can make via stocks in a weak stock market. It just isn’t going to happen,” Buffett said at the 2019 Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting. “The person on the other side cares too much. Whereas, in the stock market, in a 1973 or 1974, you were dealing with the marginal seller. And whatever price they establish for the business, you could buy it. I couldn’t have bought the entire Washington Post Company for $80 million in 1974. But I could buy 10 percent of it from a bunch of people who were just operating, you know, based on calculating betas or doing something of the sort. And they were in a terrible market. And it was possible to buy a piece of it on that valuation. You never get that kind of buy in a negotiated purchase.”

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© 2023 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Lessons From Warren Buffett

Lessons From Warren Buffett: A Public Opinion Poll Will Not Make You Rich

In the swirling sea of investment advice, a cacophony of opinions echoes from every corner of the financial world—investors, hedge fund maestros, astute analysts, and the clamorous financial media all clamor for your attention. Amidst this tumult, Warren Buffett offers a remarkably simple yet profound prescription: pay heed to none. Instead, he exhorts the discerning investor to embark on their own voyage of financial discovery, to meticulously undertake their own due diligence. In the end, it is not the cacophony of external counsel, but the whispered wisdom of one’s own research that may prove to be the most reliable guide in the labyrinthine realm of stock markets.

“On any given day, two million shares of Coca-Cola may trade. That’s a lot of people selling, a lot of people buying. If you talk to one person, you’d hear one thing, and you’d talk to another — you really should not make decisions in securities based on what other people think,” Warren Buffett said at the 1994 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “A public opinion poll will not get you rich on Wall Street. So you really want to stick with businesses that you feel you can somehow evaluate yourself.”

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© 2023 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Lessons From Warren Buffett

Lessons From Warren Buffett: Investors’ Fortunes are Tied to Business Profits

In the throes of speculative mania, when even the most unprofitable stocks are propelled skyward, it’s all too tempting to lose sight of a fundamental truth: enduring triumph in the realm of investment hinges not on the capricious dance of stock prices but on the bedrock of a company’s profitability. Amidst the frenzy,Warren Buffett points out that the enduring value of an investment is inexorably bound to the prosperity of the underlying business, not the ephemeral whims of the market.

“The only money investors are going to make, in the long run, are what the businesses make,” Buffett said at the 1999 Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting. “I mean, there is nothing added. The government doesn’t throw in anything. You know, nobody’s adding to the pot. People are taking out from the pot, in terms of frictional cost, investment management fees, brokerage commissions and all of that.”

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© 2023 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Lessons From Warren Buffett

Lessons From Warren Buffett: It’s Much Easier to Compound a Small Amount of Money

Warren Buffett is an investor that has truly scaled his investments to a size that is almost impossible to conceive. However, Buffett is quick to point out that compounding small sums is much easier than large. And the larger the sum you start with, the harder it become to continue to compound it over time.

“I think, working with a very small sum, that there is an opportunity to earn very high returns,” Buffett said at the 1999 Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting. “But that advantage disappears very rapidly as the money compounds.”

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© 2023 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Lessons From Warren Buffett

Lessons From Warren Buffett: The Best Protection from Inflation

One of the best safeguards against the erosive tides of inflation extends beyond the mere amalgamation of assets within one’s investment portfolio, notes Warren Buffett. Equally if not surpassingly pivotal, lies the endeavor to enhance one’s own intrinsic value to the utmost degree conceivable.

“The best thing you can do is to be exceptionally good at something. If you’re the best doctor in town, if you’re the best lawyer in town, if you’re the best whatever it may be, no matter whether people are paying you with a zillion dollars, they’re going to give you some of what they produce in exchange for what you deliver,” Warren Buffett said at the 2022 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “And if you’re the one they pick out to do any particular activity, sing, or play baseball, or be their lawyer, whatever it may be, whatever abilities you have can’t be taken away from you, they can’t actually be inflated away from you.”

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© 2023 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.