While financial commentary on TV and in print is often filled with predictions as to which direction the stock market will move, it is not something that Warren Buffett spends any time trying to predict. In fact, as Buffett points out, if he could be successful in predicting price movements, he wouldn’t ever need to buy stocks, as it would be totally unnecessary. He could just bet on stock futures.
“Charlie and I haven’t the faintest idea where the stock market is going to go next week, next month, or next year. We never talk about it. You know, it never comes up,” Warren Buffett said at the 2008 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “Obviously, if we could guess successfully a high percentage of the time where the stock market was going to go, we would do nothing but play the S&P futures market. There wouldn’t be any reason to look at businesses and stocks.”
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© 2023 David Mazor
Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.