“I have conquered envy in my own life. I don’t envy anybody,” Charlie Munger said. “I don’t give a damn what someone else has. But other people are driven crazy by it.”
It is something that Warren Buffett sees as almost inevitable for a certain type of investor. What type of investors are they? They are investors that always have their eyes on somebody else’s portfolio.
“There’s nothing more agonizing than to see your neighbor, who you think has an IQ about 30 points below you, getting richer than you are by buying stocks,” Buffett explained at the 2017 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “And whether it’s internet stocks or whatever… and people succumb to it.”
Buffett’s full explanation about speculation and markets
Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Turn on the financial news and you will see a steady stream of predictions as to the stock market’s overall direction. What is more routine at the beginning of the year than pundits predicting where the market will be at the end of the year? Will it hit a new high? Will it plummet? It clearly fascinates a lot of people, but not Warren Buffett, who sees those types of predictions as a waste of time.
“You may have trouble believing this, but Charlie and I never have an opinion about the market because it wouldn’t be any good and it might interfere with the opinions we have that are good,” Warren Buffett said at the 1994 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “If we’re right about a business, if we think a business is attractive, it would be very foolish for us to not take action on that because we thought something about what the market was going to do, or anything of that sort. Because we just don’t know. And to give up something that you do know and that is profitable for something that you don’t know and won’t know because of that, it just doesn’t make any sense to us, and it doesn’t really make any difference to us.”
Buffett’s full explanation on investing and the direction of the stock market
Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
You picked a winner and it’s shot up through the roof. Time to sell and buy back later at a lower price?
Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger advise against it.
“Generally speaking, trying to dance in and out of the companies you really love, on a long term basis, has not been a good idea for most investors,” Charlie Munger explained at the 1999 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting.
Warren Buffett concurred: “It’s pretty tough to do,” Buffett added. “You have to make two decisions right . . . you have to sell it right first, and then you have to buy it right later on . . . . If you get in to a wonderful business, best thing to do is stick with it.”
Buffett and Munger’s full explanation on trying to sell and buy back
Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Warren Buffett places a strong emphasis on a company’s intrinsic value in determining whether the company should be purchased in whole or in part. Whether a company is undervalued or overvalued is at the heart of knowing whether it is a good investment. The same applies to the stock market as a whole.
So, is there a straightforward formula that you can use to determine valuation? Not according to Warren Buffett.
“It’s not reducible to any formula where you can actually put in the variables perfectly,” Warren Buffett explained at the 2017 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “It’s just not quite as simple as having one or two formulas and, then, saying the market is undervalued or overvalued, or a company is undervalued or overvalued.”
As he noted, you can have a formula, but the hard part is knowing what variables to put in.
Warren Buffett’s full explanation on determining valuation
Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
You don’t have to be a genius to be an investor, is something that Warren Buffett has said many times. However, there are things that he thinks are core qualities of successful investors.
So, what is it that Warren Buffett thinks is essential? Discipline.
“What we do is not a complicated business.” Buffett explained at the 2018 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “It’s got to be a disciplined business, but it doesn’t require a super IQ, or anything of that sort.”
Buffett’s full explanation on being a disciplined investor
Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
There is no one that wants to have a lousy business, but as Warren Buffett points out, you certainly learn a lot of lessons from it. Among the things you learn are “how awful it is, and how little you can do about it, and how IQ does not solve the problem. . . ”
As Buffett noted: “I really think if you want to be a good evaluator of businesses, an investor, you really ought to figure out a way, without too much personal damage, to run a lousy business for a while,” Buffett explained at the 2017 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “I think you learn a whole lot more about business by actually struggling with a terrible business for a couple of years than you learn by getting into a very good one where the business itself is so good that you can’t mess it up.”
Buffett’s full explanation about learning from running a lousy business
Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
In the frenzied world of financial news, where the Dow can soar or plummet in the blink of an eye, it is the market’s capricious dance that captures the collective gaze. But should we, if we seek to walk in the footsteps of the legendary Warren Buffett, succumb to this tantalizing spectacle? The answer, resounds with a resolute “no.” For Warren Buffett, the stock market’s caprices hold little sway. To invest like Buffett is to look beyond the tumultuous fluctuations and fix one’s gaze upon the essence of individual businesses, where true value lies.
“Charlie and I don’t think about the market. And Ben (Graham) didn’t very much. I think he made a mistake to occasionally try and place a value on it,” Buffett explained at the 1999 Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting. “We look at individual businesses, and we don’t think of stocks as little items that wiggle around on the paper and have charts attached to them. We think of them as parts of businesses.”
Buffett’s full explanation on focusing on individual companies rather than the market
Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
A company’s stock price goes up and up, seemingly disassociated from any meaningful metrics of valuation. So, should you short it?
It may be tempting, but Warren Buffett advises against it.
“Short selling, it’s an interesting item to study because it’s, I mean, it’s ruined a lot of people. It’s the sort of thing that you can go broke doing,” Buffett explained at the 2001 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting. “Being short where your loss is unlimited is quite different than being long something that you’ve already paid for. And it’s tempting. You see way more stocks that are dramatically overvalued in your career than you will see stocks that are dramatically undervalued.”
Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Warren Buffett has said his favorite holding period to own a stock is forever, but often that gets misinterpreted as Buffett never sells. Nothing could be further from the truth. While it is true that Buffett’s massive positions in Coca Cola and American Express have been held for decades, he has sold numerous positions over the years, including his holdings in Phillips 66 and IBM, for example, and most recently he sold the large positions he built up in airline stocks, including American, Delta, United and Southwest, after COVID-19 impacted their prospects.
All things being equal, Buffett notes “It’s not their inclination to sell,” however, he sells stocks all the time.
What makes Buffett sell a stock rather than hold it forever?
One factor is whether the company has had a negative change in its competitive advantage.
“We probably had one view of the long-term competitive advantage of the company at the time we bought it, and we may have modified that,” Buffett explained at the 2002 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting.
He went on to add: “That may mean that we were wrong when we made the decision originally. It may mean that we’re wrong now, and their strengths are every bit as what they were before. But, for one reason or another, we think that the strengths may have been eroded to some degree. A classic case on that would be the newspaper industry, generally, for example. I mean, in 1970, Charlie and I were looking at the newspaper business. We felt it was impregnable a franchise as could be found.”
If the stock you are holding has strong revenues, is cranking out dividends, and has a bright future, there is no need to set an arbitrary selling price. As Buffett once said, “The real thing to do with a great business is just hang on for dear life.”
However, if the company’s prospects are deteriorating, there is no need to hold it forever.
Buffett’s full explanation on when he sells a stock
Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
The trade deficit is up, unemployment is sky high, and Coronovirus is taking thousands of lives a day. Negative news with sweeping impact is coming out daily.
Should you integrate macroeconomic news into your investing strategy?
Warren Buffett says no.
“We don’t really pay attention to that sort of thing,” Buffett said at the 2004 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting.
He went on to point out that “You could’ve sat down in 1974, when stocks were screaming bargains, and you could’ve written down all kinds of things that would have caused you to say, you know, the future is going to be terrible.”
As Buffett noted, the stock market has survived wars, pandemics, and all kinds of negative news.
“You know, the Dow went from 66 to 10,000-plus in the hundred years of the 20th century, Buffett explained. “And we had two world wars . . . . There‘s always problems in the future, there’s always opportunities in the future. And in this country the opportunities have always won out over the problems over time.”
So, don’t let the size of the federal deficit scare you out of making a well-researched investment in an individual stock.
Buffett’s full explanation of macroeconomic factors and investing
Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.