A cornerstone of Warren Buffett’s strategy for identifying a worthwhile company, whether for full acquisition or just a minority stake, lies in determining its intrinsic value. For Buffett, intrinsic value is centered on the business’s future cash flow, akin to the interest paid on a bond. However, unlike bonds, stocks do not have their “interest rate” clearly printed.
At the 1997 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting, Buffett explained, “If we could see what a business’s future cash inflows or outflows to and from the owners would be over the next hundred years, or until the business ceases to exist, and then discount that back at the appropriate interest rate, we would have a number for intrinsic value.”
Buffett likened this process to evaluating a bond with numerous future coupons. The value of a bond with 5% coupons differs from one with 7% coupons, just as different businesses have varying future “coupons.” The challenge for investors is estimating these future coupons, as they are not printed on the stock. This estimation is crucial for determining the intrinsic value and making informed investment decisions.
Buffett’s full explanation on determining intrinsic value
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© 2024 David Mazor
Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.