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Todd Combs and Ted Weschler

Berkshire Hathaway Benefits From Cable TV Frenzy

(BRK.A), (BRK.B)

Charter Communications’ agreement to acquire cable operator Time Warner Cable has the cash register ringing at Berkshire Hathaway as well.

Shares of cable operator Liberty Global PLC, with annual revenues of $18.2 billion, has soared as the quickly consolidating cable industry has drawn interest from large Wall Street hedge funds.

Berkshire’s not sitting on the sidelines, as its stake in Liberty Global stood at 10,342,793 shares as of March 31, 2015, making Berkshire the 5th largest institutional holder of the company.

As the battle for Time Warner Cable has heated up over the last year, Liberty Global stock has risen a dramatic 29% over the past 12 months, and 16.2% year-to-date.

Berkshire first disclosed a stake in the international cable TV operator in December 2014, when it announced it owned 2.95 million shares of the company. As of March 31, 2015, Berkshire has trimmed its position by some 473,531 shares.

An International Cable TV Power House Eying Acquisitions

Helmed by cable TV mogul John C. Malone, Liberty Global is the largest international cable company and serves 14 countries, including 12 in Europe, and it’s clearly looking for even more customers and reach.

Malone, who is also the Chairman of Liberty Media Corporation and Liberty Interactive Corporation, and a member of the Board of Directors of Charter Communications, is known as one of the most aggressive dealmakers in a field known for deal making. Malone holds a 26% in Charter Communications through Liberty Broadband.

Is Vodafone Next?

Recently, Malone has expressed interest in British telecommunications company Vodafone Group, suggesting it would be a “good fit” with Liberty Global. As cable operators seek to expand their spheres of operation in the face of growing competition from non-cable Internet services, such as Netflix and Hulu, Malone just might be right that Vodafone’s 400 million customers across the globe are just what Liberty Global needs, and Berkshire could be along for a nice ride.

© 2015 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Buffett Successors Todd Combs and Ted Weschler Warren Buffett

Are Ajit Jain and Greg Abel the Successors to Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger?

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Despite Warren Buffett being a spry age 84, and Charlie Munger a youthful 91, the question of the successor or successors that will lead Berkshire Hathaway continues to be on analysts’ and commentators’ minds.

“Both the board and I believe we now have the right person to succeed me as CEO — a successor ready to assume the job the day after I die or step down,” Buffett has said.

Now, in his letter published in the 2014 Annual Report, Charlie Munger seems to hint that Ajit Jain or Greg Abel could be in line to provide the leadership that will carry Berkshire forward.

“For instance, Ajit Jain and Greg Abel are proven performers who would probably be under-described as “world-class.” “World-leading” would be the description I would choose. In some important ways, each is a better business executive than Buffett.

And I believe neither Jain nor Abel would (1) leave Berkshire, no matter what someone else offered or (2) desire much change in the Berkshire system.”

While neither Buffett nor Munger has officially revealed the next leader or leaders of Berkshire Hathaway, both Jain and Abel would seem to fit the bill.

First, they would be promoted from inside the company, and thus are steeped in Berkshire’s unique corporate culture.

Secondly, they are both young enough to have long reigns at a company that certainly has no interest in a mandatory retirement age, and each of them would bring essential skill sets to the job.

Both have played important leadership roles heading two of Berkshire’s largest units.

Ajit Jain, as the man who has built Berkshire’s insurance and reinsurance empire, is better equipped than almost anyone in the world to take on the important task of making sure Berkshire’s insurance companies don’t try to grow by taking on undue risk.

Greg Abel, as the head of Berkshire Hathaway Energy, certainly knows about capital allocation. Under his leadership, BHE has grown into one of the world’s largest energy providers and a leader in renewable energy generation. He also sits on the Board of Heinz, and BHE includes Berkshire Hathaway Home Services, Berkshire’s rapidly expanding real estate sales unit. Both of these companies give him additional insight into consumer markets.

As for their ages, Jain is age 63, and Abel is only 52, so they hopefully would have many years to put their stamps on Berkshire.

So which one is it?

Why not both of them?

Well, while Buffett spoke in the singular, he has already stated that his replacement would probably see his various roles filled by several people.

The job of managing Berkshire’s $125 billion and growing stock portfolio will almost certainly fall to Ted Weschler and Todd Combs, who Buffett has been grooming by giving each a multi-billion dollar stock portfolio to manage.

Together, Jain and Abel would also be sounding boards and counter balances for each other in much the same way that Buffett has used Munger.

While Warren Buffett rightly gets the lion’s share of credit for Berkshire’s phenomenal growth, Charlie Munger’s sage advice has often been overlooked by the press.

It certainly hasn’t been overlooked by Buffett.

While the latest buzz comes from Munger, Buffett has repeatedly praised both Jain and Abel.

On Jain, Buffett said “It is impossible to overstate how valuable Ajit [Jain] is to Berkshire. Don’t worry about my health; worry about his.”

On Abel, Buffett has highlighted the impact that he and Mathew Rose (CEO of BNSF) have had on Berkshire, stating “I am also both proud and grateful for what they have accomplished for Berkshire shareholders.”

So, if Ajit Jain and Greg Abel are indeed the future leaders of Berkshire, shareholders can look forward to continued smart and capable leadership.

And we shouldn’t forget BNSF’s executive chairman Mathew Rose, who is only in his mid-fifties. He is certainly a prime contender as well.

© 2015 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Buffett Successors Todd Combs and Ted Weschler

Buffett Successors: Are Ted Weschler and Todd Combs in the Running?

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Handicapping the successors to Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger has become a major pastime for Berkshire Hathaway followers, so here is a pro and con analysis for two possible candidates, who because of their similar work as Berkshire investment portfolio managers, will be treated as one.

Candidates: Ted Weschler and Todd Combs

Current positions: Manage more than $14 billion in investment portfolios for Berkshire Hathaway.

Pro: With a total portfolio of over $100 billion in stock of leading companies, including Coca Cola, IBM, Wells Fargo, and American Express, Berkshire Hathaway in part resembles a mutual fund. Management of this portfolio has traditionally been Buffett’s job, although he has delegated over 10% of the portfolio to Weschler and Combs, and has steadily increased the amount they manage each year. Weschler and Combs each manage a portfolio of their own choosing. The case for either or both of them is that asset allocation is the primary role that both Buffett and Munger have chosen for themselves, and portfolio management is just that.

Both Weschler and Combs are former hedge fund managers. Ted Weschler was the founder of a hedge fund, Peninsula Capital, and Todd Combs was the CEO and Director of Castle Point Capital.

Berkshire’s company acquisition strategy, which last year included acquiring global food company Heinz, and this year will gain them the Van Tuyl Auto Group, and a portion of Burger King, puts Berkshire in the same class as a hedge fund, only with a long-term ownership time frame.

Alice Schroeder, Bloomberg View columnist and author of “The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life,” noted about Ted Weschler that “Warren keeps describing him as an investment manager, but the reality is his skills are more comparable to those of Warren himself. He has a background in broad capital management, including private equity, mergers and acquisitions, owning businesses and being directly involved in their management.”

As Warren Buffett’s handpicked protégés, Buffett has praised their success, noting that “They have made Berkshire billions already that we wouldn’t have otherwise made,” Buffett said on CNBC. “They both have a fundamental combination of soundness and brilliance.”

Con: Lack of management experience leading a company the size of Berkshire Hathaway. There are other Berkshire managers, including Geico’s Tony Nicely, BNSF Railway’s Matt Rose, and Berkshire Hathaway Energy’s Greg Abel, that have more experience helming large corporations.

Biggest Negative: Buffett has already ruled them out, explaining on CNBC that “They will not be the Chief Executive Officer, but they will be there to help the Chief Executive Officer in that arena. Just like people that run given business are there to help in their areas.”

Analysis: This one is an easy one. When Buffett says you are out of the running, you’re out.

© 2014 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results

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Todd Combs and Ted Weschler

AT&T Acquisition of DirecTV Means Windfall for Berkshire Hathaway

(BRK.A), (BRK.B)

Whether AT&T’s newly announced $48.5 billion acquisition of DirecTV is ultimately good for both parties is uncertain, but one thing that is certain, is that it means a huge windfall for Berkshire Hathaway.

Berkshire reported owning 34.5 million shares of DirecTV as of March 31, 2014, and those shares were purchased at roughly half the tender price of $95 per share being offered by AT&T.

A Windfall for Berkshire

At the $95 share price, Berkshire’s holdings will be worth at least $3.27 billion, provided that it did not accumulate any additional shares after March 31.

A Winner for Todd Combs and Ted Weschler

Berkshire’s DirecTV stake was purchased by Todd Combs and Ted Weschler, as a part of portfolios they manage on behalf of the company.

Combs and Weschler each manage $7 billion portfolios, and have seen the amount of money under their supervision increased significantly in the past two years as Warren Buffett has grown more confident in their approaches.

Both stock pickers beat the S&P 500 in 2013. 2014 looks to be a very good year as well.

© 2014 David Mazor

Disclosure: David Mazor is a freelance writer focusing on Berkshire Hathaway. The author is long in Berkshire Hathaway, and this article is not a recommendation on whether to buy or sell the stock. The information contained in this article should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.